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Red85
373524.3
399932.5
367921.9
Blue89
336628.0
335521.6
331044.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions781000501508589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3999
#11
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
blue by 11.7
44.20.0
44.244.2
Auto14.6
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
3735
#25
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
blue by 3.8
3366
#20
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Third
3679
#38
21.90.0
21.921.9
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End4.2
red by 0.3
3355
#39
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds