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Red57
613319.5
41820.8
505717.8
Blue101
541424.8
572623.5
399932.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5588020408010012014057101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#24
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
blue by 11.8
3999
#11
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
Second
6133
#18
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 5.4
5414
#21
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
5057
#41
17.80.0
17.817.8
Auto7.1
Teleop8.1
End2.6
blue by 5.7
5726
#40
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach odds87%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds