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Red82
505220.9
557227.6
348141.2
Blue62
335521.6
541721.0
582922.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions98620501508262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#12
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End5.3
red by 18.4
5829
#28
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Second
5572
#29
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.5
End9.4
red by 6.1
3355
#39
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.7
Third
5052
#37
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
blue by 0.1
5417
#15
21.00.0
21.021.0
Auto7.5
Teleop10.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach odds70%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds0%Capture odds