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Red91
617128.9
258731.7
384733.9
Blue96
399932.5
613319.5
374324.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101752040601201401601809196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#17
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
red by 1.4
3999
#11
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
Second
2587
#33
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
red by 7.2
3743
#19
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Third
6171
#27
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 9.5
6133
#18
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach odds79%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds1%Capture odds