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Red100
399932.5
300539.8
577521.2
Blue92
582922.8
288133.4
463926.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99835015010092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#16
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
red by 6.4
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
Second
3999
#11
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
red by 5.6
4639
#32
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
Third
5775
#23
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 1.6
5829
#28
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach odds66%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds1%Capture odds