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Red97
348129.6
399932.8
615515.0
Blue141
215829.2
147731.3
258314.5
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969040608012014097141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.2
33.032.9
Auto8.5
Teleop20.0
End4.3
red by 1.5
31.30.6
30.431.0
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
3481
#17
29.60.2
29.829.6
Auto6.1
Teleop20.6
End2.9
red by 0.4
2158
#12
29.20.6
28.829.4
Auto7.2
Teleop17.3
End4.6
Third
6155
#51
15.00.2
15.215.0
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End2.8
red by 0.4
2583
#35
14.50.6
14.114.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.6
End2.2