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Red47
280524.4
45718.7
459711.1
Blue15
572623.3
589414.7
370012.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554102060801004715

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.40.5
16.315.8
Auto6.3
Teleop14.8
End3.2
red by 1.1
5726
#16
23.33.0
14.011.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End4.8
Second
457
#49
18.70.5
18.217.7
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
red by 4.0
5894
#55
14.73.0
14.611.6
Auto5.2
Teleop7.2
End2.2
Third
4597
#66
11.10.5
16.816.3
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End2.3
blue by 1.6
3700
#62
12.73.0
13.210.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed