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Red20
303517.1
568112.5
296613.7
Blue45
605110.1
147731.3
469419.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4058020801002045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3035
#45
17.12.4
13.811.4
Auto5.8
Teleop8.5
End2.8
blue by 14.3
31.31.0
24.323.3
Auto9.0
Teleop16.4
End6.0
Second
2966
#63
13.72.4
14.612.2
Auto7.3
Teleop3.8
End2.7
blue by 5.8
4694
#44
19.61.0
15.114.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
5681
#53
12.52.4
13.010.6
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End3.2
red by 2.5
6051
#47
10.11.0
14.613.6
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsMissed35%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed