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Red39
469617.9
65313.9
557217.9
Blue47
463918.9
310321.7
612611.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53480204060801001203947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4696
#57
17.91.8
18.016.1
Auto8.5
Teleop5.8
End3.6
blue by 3.8
3103
#31
21.70.0
18.918.9
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End3.2
Second
5572
#40
17.91.8
19.617.8
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.6
blue by 1.0
4639
#14
18.90.0
16.816.7
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End0.9
Third
653
#50
13.91.8
12.811.0
Auto0.3
Teleop9.1
End4.6
red by 2.9
6126
#37
11.00.0
11.611.6
Auto1.0
Teleop9.3
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed