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Red28
605110.1
563923.0
615515.0
Blue52
288128.9
367921.9
370012.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4445102030405060702852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5639
#22
23.01.8
16.514.8
Auto7.8
Teleop11.4
End3.8
blue by 5.9
2881
#24
28.91.0
17.919.0
Auto6.3
Teleop15.8
End6.7
Second
6155
#51
15.01.8
13.912.1
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End2.8
blue by 6.9
3679
#29
21.91.0
14.415.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End4.2
Third
6051
#47
10.11.8
13.611.8
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.0
blue by 2.7
3700
#62
12.71.0
10.211.3
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
23%Breach oddsMissed20%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed