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Red78
572623.3
469419.6
258314.5
Blue70
406328.2
505220.9
373521.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386502060801007870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5726
#16
23.34.1
10.915.0
Auto7.3
Teleop11.2
End4.8
blue by 5.0
28.20.6
28.629.2
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End5.7
Second
4694
#44
19.64.1
14.418.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.7
End2.1
blue by 1.5
3735
#36
21.10.6
15.816.4
Auto3.7
Teleop14.6
End2.8
Third
2583
#35
14.54.1
16.020.1
Auto5.7
Teleop6.6
End2.2
blue by 6.4
5052
#39
20.90.6
14.815.4
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed