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Red62
462721.3
367921.9
473419.3
Blue53
459711.1
333517.3
409119.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495210203040607080906253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3679
#29
21.91.0
15.516.5
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End4.2
red by 2.1
4091
#41
19.80.2
15.715.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.3
End3.0
Second
4627
#21
21.31.0
15.116.2
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End3.1
red by 4.0
3335
#64
17.30.2
19.419.2
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End2.4
Third
4734
#27
19.31.0
17.118.2
Auto6.3
Teleop9.2
End3.7
red by 8.2
4597
#66
11.10.2
14.814.6
Auto2.5
Teleop6.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
35%Breach oddsEarned39%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed