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Red45
42199.9
462721.3
568112.5
Blue46
64714.6
615515.0
463918.9
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5253203040607080904546

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4627
#21
21.33.5
18.314.8
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End3.1
red by 2.4
4639
#14
18.90.4
17.216.8
Auto6.8
Teleop11.1
End0.9
Second
5681
#53
12.53.5
16.513.0
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End3.2
blue by 2.4
6155
#51
15.00.2
15.015.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.8
End2.8
Third
4219
#56
9.93.5
16.913.4
Auto2.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
blue by 4.8
647
#54
14.60.4
17.216.7
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed