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Red45
330513.0
42199.9
288128.9
Blue87
125523.5
278922.7
310321.7
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4459020801004587

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
#24
28.90.0
19.019.0
Auto6.3
Teleop15.8
End6.7
red by 5.4
1255
#48
23.52.5
15.918.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.3
End4.3
Second
3305
#42
13.00.0
18.018.0
Auto2.6
Teleop6.3
End4.2
blue by 9.7
2789
#11
22.72.5
20.122.6
Auto8.8
Teleop9.7
End4.1
Third
4219
#56
9.90.0
8.18.1
Auto2.2
Teleop6.7
End0.9
blue by 11.9
3103
#31
21.72.5
18.721.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
21%Breach oddsMissed41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed