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Red52
64714.6
333517.3
45718.7
Blue92
300532.9
441215.9
605110.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515310203040607080905292

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#49
18.70.3
18.118.4
Auto3.9
Teleop11.0
End3.8
blue by 14.2
32.92.7
30.333.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.7
Second
3335
#64
17.30.3
17.017.3
Auto4.8
Teleop10.1
End2.4
red by 1.3
4412
#60
15.92.7
13.215.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.7
End1.3
Third
647
#54
14.60.3
14.414.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.9
End1.2
red by 4.6
6051
#47
10.12.7
7.410.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.6
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
14%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed