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Red65
568112.5
278922.7
406328.2
Blue54
433216.6
284825.6
598614.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705702040801001201406554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.6
28.828.2
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End5.7
red by 2.7
25.60.3
25.625.3
Auto7.5
Teleop15.5
End2.6
Second
2789
#11
22.70.7
24.123.4
Auto8.8
Teleop9.7
End4.1
red by 6.1
4332
#32
16.60.3
16.916.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.4
End4.1
Third
5681
#53
12.50.6
13.212.5
Auto4.4
Teleop5.0
End3.2
blue by 1.7
5986
#52
14.30.3
14.614.3
Auto4.7
Teleop7.7
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsMissed49%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed