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Red116
62435.6
300532.9
367921.9
Blue106
462721.3
246837.9
557217.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11590406080100140160180116106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#4
35.60.2
35.535.7
Auto11.4
Teleop19.1
End5.1
blue by 2.3
37.90.3
37.637.9
Auto8.6
Teleop23.1
End6.3
Second
32.90.2
32.833.0
Auto10.8
Teleop17.4
End4.7
red by 11.6
4627
#21
21.30.3
21.021.3
Auto6.9
Teleop11.3
End3.1
Third
3679
#29
21.90.2
21.822.0
Auto6.4
Teleop11.3
End4.2
red by 4.0
5572
#40
17.90.3
17.517.9
Auto5.0
Teleop10.2
End2.6