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Red142
433441.1
246844.7
316623.4
Blue102
593324.7
147733.0
337427.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13710380120160180200142102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.3
44.444.7
Auto10.9
Teleop28.6
End5.2
red by 11.7
1477
#10
33.00.1
33.233.1
Auto11.2
Teleop16.2
End5.6
Second
41.10.3
40.841.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End2.7
red by 13.6
3374
#23
27.60.1
27.827.7
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End5.0
Third
3166
#21
23.40.3
23.023.3
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End4.1
blue by 1.3
5933
#14
24.70.1
24.924.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End3.6