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Red79
322530.4
324129.3
459818.0
Blue75
433441.1
162210.7
300623.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58603040507080907975

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.42.4
22.925.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.9
End5.0
blue by 10.7
41.11.5
31.132.5
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End2.7
Second
29.32.4
22.124.4
Auto10.4
Teleop15.6
End3.3
red by 6.0
3006
#19
23.31.5
18.720.1
Auto4.9
Teleop14.9
End3.5
Third
4598
#20
18.02.4
12.715.0
Auto7.8
Teleop7.6
End2.5
red by 7.3
1622
#33
10.71.0
7.28.2
Auto0.6
Teleop8.5
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned47%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed