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Qual 232016 Utah Regional
Red78
323927.9
494416.5
458519.6
Blue107
433441.1
32940.2
597420.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4295020608012014016078107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3239
#22
27.93.3
19.6→22.9
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.2
blue by 13.2
4334
#5
41.12.5
32.5→35.1
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End2.7
Second
4585
#17
19.63.3
15.3→18.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End4.9
blue by 20.6
329
#3
40.22.5
34.6→37.1
Auto10.1
Teleop24.2
End5.9
Third
4944
#26
16.53.3
13.6→16.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End1.7
blue by 3.6
5974
#16
20.12.5
17.0→19.5
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned