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Qual 272016 Utah Regional
Red92
189121.9
431021.9
32940.2
Blue87
323034.6
147733.0
247812.6
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70832040601001209287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#3
40.21.9
37.1→39.0
Auto10.1
Teleop24.2
End5.9
red by 5.6
3230
#7
34.60.3
31.7→32.0
Auto9.4
Teleop19.1
End6.1
Second
1891
#27
21.91.9
15.7→17.6
Auto5.0
Teleop13.5
End3.5
blue by 11.0
1477
#10
33.00.2
31.1→31.3
Auto11.2
Teleop16.2
End5.6
Third
4310
#15
21.91.9
17.5→19.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End4.6
red by 9.2
2478
#35
12.60.3
16.3→16.6
Auto6.9
Teleop4.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
63%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed