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Red67
324129.3
494416.5
328928.8
Blue68
328824.0
458519.6
593324.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions69602040801001206768

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.30.4
24.323.9
Auto10.4
Teleop15.6
End3.3
red by 4.6
5933
#14
24.70.4
20.520.9
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Second
28.80.4
24.624.2
Auto10.1
Teleop13.5
End5.2
red by 4.8
3288
#13
24.00.4
20.420.8
Auto7.6
Teleop12.8
End3.5
Third
4944
#26
16.50.4
16.916.4
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End1.7
blue by 3.1
4585
#17
19.60.4
18.619.0
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed