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Qual 372016 Utah Regional
Red53
11520.3
28737.8
323927.9
Blue106
328928.8
302136.3
248417.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6469010020030040050053106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#4
37.81.1
23.9→22.9
Auto12.0
Teleop19.9
End5.9
red by 1.5
3021
#2
36.32.4
31.3→33.7
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End7.1
Second
3239
#22
27.91.1
20.8→19.7
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.2
blue by 0.9
3289
#9
28.83.3
17.7→21.1
Auto10.1
Teleop13.5
End5.2
Third
115
#34
20.31.1
18.0→16.9
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End3.3
red by 3.4
2484
#24
17.03.3
17.2→20.5
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
45%Breach oddsMissed65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed