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Qual 452016 Utah Regional
Red37
299319.2
162210.7
316623.4
Blue58
458519.6
548926.5
248417.0
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions517602040601001201403758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3166
#21
23.42.2
21.6→19.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End4.1
blue by 3.2
5489
#11
26.51.2
28.8→27.6
Auto7.6
Teleop11.4
End7.5
Second
2993
#28
19.22.2
20.6→18.3
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End2.9
blue by 0.4
4585
#17
19.61.2
23.1→21.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End4.9
Third
1622
#33
10.71.4
11.1→9.7
Auto0.6
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 6.3
2484
#24
17.01.2
17.8→16.6
Auto3.4
Teleop9.8
End3.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach oddsMissed66%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed