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Red71
11520.3
431021.9
337427.6
Blue74
328928.8
459818.0
458519.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions666650607080907174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3374
#23
27.60.7
24.024.7
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End5.0
blue by 1.2
28.80.0
27.527.5
Auto10.1
Teleop13.5
End5.2
Second
4310
#15
21.90.7
18.719.3
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End4.6
red by 2.3
4585
#17
19.60.0
21.921.9
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End4.9
Third
115
#34
20.30.7
21.322.0
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End3.3
red by 2.3
4598
#20
18.00.0
14.714.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.6
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach oddsEarned75%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed