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Red84
189121.9
459818.0
316623.4
Blue63
43488.1
300623.3
323927.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5658203040507080908463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3166
#21
23.42.1
20.422.5
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End4.1
blue by 4.5
3239
#22
27.90.6
25.926.5
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.2
Second
1891
#27
21.92.1
19.922.0
Auto5.0
Teleop13.5
End3.5
blue by 1.3
3006
#19
23.30.6
21.622.2
Auto4.9
Teleop14.9
End3.5
Third
4598
#20
18.02.1
14.716.8
Auto7.8
Teleop7.6
End2.5
red by 9.9
4348
#30
8.10.6
8.89.4
Auto1.0
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed