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Qual 592016 Utah Regional
Red104
494416.5
246844.7
147733.0
Blue112
28737.8
431021.9
299319.2
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions967220406080120140104112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
#1
44.70.9
40.7→41.7
Auto10.9
Teleop28.6
End5.2
red by 6.9
287
#4
37.82.5
34.9→37.4
Auto12.0
Teleop19.9
End5.9
Second
1477
#10
33.00.9
32.3→33.3
Auto11.2
Teleop16.2
End5.6
red by 11.1
4310
#15
21.92.5
19.3→21.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End4.6
Third
4944
#26
16.51.2
17.0→18.2
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End1.7
blue by 2.7
2993
#28
19.22.5
19.7→22.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
96%Breach oddsEarned59%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed