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Qual 632016 Utah Regional
Red52
433441.1
494416.5
324320.5
Blue91
28737.8
316623.4
302136.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8410140601201401605291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#5
41.12.6
42.5→39.9
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End2.7
red by 3.3
287
#4
37.80.4
37.4→37.0
Auto12.0
Teleop19.9
End5.9
Second
3243
#12
20.52.6
23.2→20.6
Auto3.9
Teleop12.3
End4.3
blue by 15.8
3021
#2
36.30.3
35.6→35.3
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End7.1
Third
4944
#26
16.52.6
18.2→15.6
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End1.7
blue by 6.9
3166
#21
23.40.4
22.5→22.2
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsMissed89%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed