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Qual 682016 Utah Regional
Red98
431021.9
316623.4
433441.1
Blue56
597420.1
299319.2
324527.0
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9068204060801001201409856

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4334
#5
41.10.3
39.9→40.2
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End2.7
red by 14.1
3245
#18
27.01.0
27.9→26.9
Auto6.2
Teleop18.3
End2.5
Second
3166
#21
23.40.3
22.2→22.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End4.1
red by 3.3
5974
#16
20.11.0
21.5→20.5
Auto8.0
Teleop8.4
End3.7
Third
4310
#15
21.90.3
22.2→22.4
Auto4.7
Teleop12.5
End4.6
red by 2.7
2993
#28
19.21.0
20.2→19.2
Auto3.6
Teleop12.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
75%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed