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Qual 702016 Utah Regional
Red97
458519.6
302136.3
322530.4
Blue104
593324.7
323927.9
32940.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8397406012014097104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3021
#2
36.31.0
35.3→36.3
Auto10.0
Teleop19.1
End7.1
blue by 3.9
329
#3
40.20.5
39.7→40.2
Auto10.1
Teleop24.2
End5.9
Second
3225
#6
30.41.1
28.5→29.6
Auto10.5
Teleop14.9
End5.0
red by 2.5
3239
#22
27.90.5
27.7→28.3
Auto7.1
Teleop17.6
End3.2
Third
4585
#17
19.61.1
18.5→19.6
Auto5.4
Teleop9.3
End4.9
blue by 5.1
5933
#14
24.70.5
24.5→25.0
Auto6.7
Teleop14.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsEarned78%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned