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Red80
162210.7
426810.3
246844.7
Blue71
337427.6
328928.8
43488.1
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62652040801008071

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.71.3
42.543.8
Auto10.9
Teleop28.6
End5.2
red by 15.9
28.80.6
28.128.7
Auto10.1
Teleop13.5
End5.2
Second
1622
#33
10.71.3
9.410.7
Auto0.6
Teleop8.5
End1.6
blue by 16.9
3374
#23
27.60.6
27.227.8
Auto6.2
Teleop16.4
End5.0
Third
4268
#36
10.31.4
8.910.3
Auto4.2
Teleop5.2
End0.9
red by 2.2
4348
#30
8.10.6
7.58.1
Auto1.0
Teleop6.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned93%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed