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Semifinal 1-12016 Utah Regional
Red164
433441.1
246844.7
316623.4
Blue103
324129.3
322530.4
11520.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13595406080120160180200164103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.2
43.543.7
Auto10.9
Teleop28.6
End5.2
red by 14.3
30.40.1
30.230.3
Auto10.5
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Second
41.10.2
40.040.2
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End2.7
red by 11.8
29.30.1
29.129.2
Auto10.4
Teleop15.6
End3.3
Third
3166
#21
23.40.2
22.222.4
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End4.1
red by 3.0
115
#34
20.30.1
20.220.2
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End3.3