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Semifinal 1-22016 Utah Regional
Red190
433441.1
246844.7
316623.4
Blue104
324129.3
322530.4
11520.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136956080120160180190104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.70.6
43.744.4
Auto10.9
Teleop28.6
End5.2
red by 14.3
30.40.1
30.330.4
Auto10.5
Teleop14.9
End5.0
Second
41.10.6
40.240.8
Auto8.4
Teleop30.0
End2.7
red by 11.8
29.30.1
29.229.3
Auto10.4
Teleop15.6
End3.3
Third
3166
#21
23.40.6
22.423.0
Auto6.9
Teleop12.4
End4.1
red by 3.0
115
#34
20.30.1
20.220.3
Auto3.4
Teleop13.6
End3.3