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Red112
108634.8
34630.3
253427.8
Blue102
126227.1
345528.2
97721.1
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12183050100150112102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.80.0
34.834.8
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End4.4
red by 6.6
28.20.1
28.128.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.2
End4.1
Second
346
#6
30.30.0
30.230.2
Auto7.2
Teleop16.8
End6.3
red by 3.2
1262
#10
27.10.1
27.027.1
Auto10.0
Teleop13.1
End4.0
Third
2534
#22
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End7.1
red by 6.7
977
#14
21.10.1
21.021.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.2