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Red115
40128.1
252829.2
38412.8
Blue115
108634.8
34630.3
253427.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions771234060100140160180115115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.20.7
28.629.2
Auto10.2
Teleop14.8
End4.2
blue by 5.6
34.80.1
35.235.1
Auto10.4
Teleop20.0
End4.4
Second
401
#8
28.10.6
27.528.1
Auto8.8
Teleop16.4
End2.9
blue by 2.1
346
#6
30.30.1
30.730.6
Auto7.2
Teleop16.8
End6.3
Third
384
#28
12.80.6
12.212.8
Auto6.4
Teleop5.0
End1.3
blue by 15.1
2534
#22
27.80.1
28.228.1
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End7.1