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Red75
161023.5
527932.2
387230.9
Blue39
325814.6
289010.9
595024.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions624701001507539

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.21.9
16.518.4
Auto8.1
Teleop18.2
End5.9
red by 8.1
5950
#17
24.114.2
27.813.5
Auto10.2
Teleop9.8
End4.0
Second
30.91.3
21.722.9
Auto8.4
Teleop18.0
End4.5
red by 16.3
3258
#33
14.62.1
15.913.8
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End3.2
Third
1610
#15
23.51.9
19.521.4
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End4.1
red by 12.6
2890
#29
10.92.1
16.414.3
Auto2.7
Teleop7.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach oddsEarned36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed