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Red32
325814.6
595414.5
33925.9
Blue63
42224.7
159823.2
62012.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46540204060801003263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
339
#16
25.91.6
22.120.6
Auto8.1
Teleop15.8
End2.1
red by 1.2
422
#12
24.71.3
20.922.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End4.0
Second
3258
#33
14.61.6
16.514.9
Auto2.3
Teleop9.2
End3.2
blue by 8.5
1598
#24
23.21.3
18.119.4
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End4.6
Third
5954
#23
14.51.6
7.66.0
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 1.9
620
#32
12.70.8
12.213.0
Auto2.9
Teleop9.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed42%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed