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Red55
210611.9
595414.5
159926.2
Blue37
54016.4
619419.9
61712.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364102060801005537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1599
#20
26.21.5
21.122.6
Auto8.0
Teleop15.0
End3.2
red by 6.3
6194
#21
19.91.4
16.314.9
Auto6.6
Teleop11.4
End1.8
Second
5954
#23
14.51.5
6.07.6
Auto2.5
Teleop10.8
End1.2
blue by 1.9
540
#27
16.41.4
14.513.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Third
2106
#25
11.91.5
9.010.5
Auto6.2
Teleop5.5
End0.2
blue by 0.2
617
#34
12.11.4
8.77.3
Auto3.0
Teleop8.9
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
29%Breach oddsEarned37%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed