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Red97
345528.2
252829.2
327419.1
Blue64
161023.5
336123.2
159823.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions566402040801009764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.23.5
18.922.4
Auto10.2
Teleop14.8
End4.2
red by 5.7
1610
#15
23.50.4
22.522.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.1
End4.1
Second
28.22.1
20.923.0
Auto6.9
Teleop17.2
End4.1
red by 5.0
3361
#18
23.20.4
18.418.8
Auto8.4
Teleop12.0
End2.8
Third
3274
#11
19.12.1
16.018.1
Auto5.2
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 4.0
1598
#24
23.20.4
19.920.2
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed