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Red74
159926.2
345528.2
253427.8
Blue85
97721.1
173136.6
40128.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626540507080907485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.20.9
21.322.2
Auto6.9
Teleop17.2
End4.1
blue by 8.4
36.61.5
28.029.5
Auto9.2
Teleop24.0
End3.3
Second
2534
#22
27.80.9
22.022.9
Auto10.3
Teleop10.4
End7.1
blue by 0.3
401
#8
28.12.5
19.021.4
Auto8.8
Teleop16.4
End2.9
Third
1599
#20
26.21.5
17.519.0
Auto8.0
Teleop15.0
End3.2
red by 5.1
977
#14
21.12.5
15.618.1
Auto7.2
Teleop10.7
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed