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Red159
108639.1
527937.8
335921.9
Blue102
40134.1
12239.0
291424.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121120110130140150159102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.4
38.839.1
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End6.0
red by 0.2
122
#2
39.00.4
39.339.0
Auto10.8
Teleop23.2
End5.0
Second
37.80.4
37.437.8
Auto8.6
Teleop22.7
End6.5
red by 3.7
401
#5
34.10.4
34.534.1
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End4.0
Third
3359
#29
21.90.4
21.521.9
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 2.3
2914
#30
24.20.4
24.524.2
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End3.3