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Red108
42231.9
428628.1
595718.4
Blue95
61928.0
159827.9
38418.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions998940608012014016010895

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#11
31.90.1
31.531.6
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.3
red by 3.8
619
#16
28.00.1
27.627.7
Auto10.3
Teleop14.4
End3.3
Second
28.10.1
27.727.9
Auto8.3
Teleop14.4
End5.4
red by 0.2
27.90.1
27.527.5
Auto9.4
Teleop13.1
End5.4
Third
5957
#19
18.40.1
18.118.2
Auto7.6
Teleop8.6
End2.3
red by 0.4
384
#24
18.00.1
17.617.6
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5