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Red42
34635.9
210615.0
33931.3
Blue102
40134.1
554636.5
152221.3
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6784020406010012014016042102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#10
35.91.9
30.328.3
Auto9.0
Teleop17.8
End9.1
blue by 0.6
36.50.8
33.634.4
Auto10.7
Teleop13.5
End12.3
Second
339
#4
31.31.7
25.924.1
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End2.9
blue by 2.8
401
#5
34.10.8
28.129.0
Auto8.7
Teleop21.5
End4.0
Third
2106
#35
15.01.7
11.910.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.9
End1.7
blue by 6.3
1522
#17
21.30.8
17.718.5
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsMissed65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed