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Red85
471416.9
152221.3
42231.9
Blue69
159933.0
335921.9
190822.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions516202040801008569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
422
#11
31.91.9
27.729.6
Auto9.9
Teleop17.7
End4.3
blue by 1.2
1599
#15
33.00.7
26.927.6
Auto9.1
Teleop18.6
End5.4
Second
1522
#17
21.31.9
17.419.3
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End5.5
blue by 0.7
1908
#18
22.00.7
17.117.8
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End3.9
Third
4714
#34
16.93.2
6.49.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.2
End0.9
blue by 5.0
3359
#29
21.90.7
14.715.4
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsEarned61%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed