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Red79
159827.9
299817.8
38418.0
Blue49
190822.0
152221.3
313623.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515702040801007949

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.91.5
24.225.8
Auto9.4
Teleop13.1
End5.4
red by 4.7
3136
#22
23.20.4
19.319.0
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End3.2
Second
384
#24
18.01.5
13.615.2
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End1.5
blue by 4.0
1908
#18
22.00.4
17.317.0
Auto7.1
Teleop10.9
End3.9
Third
2998
#28
17.82.6
12.915.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.2
blue by 3.5
1522
#17
21.30.4
17.817.4
Auto6.0
Teleop9.7
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
37%Breach oddsEarned24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed