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Red62
291424.2
527937.8
210718.2
Blue70
34635.9
53925.4
595718.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7475606570808590956270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.80.7
34.233.5
Auto8.6
Teleop22.7
End6.5
red by 1.9
346
#10
35.90.2
33.933.7
Auto9.0
Teleop17.8
End9.1
Second
2914
#30
24.20.7
22.722.0
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End3.3
blue by 1.2
539
#20
25.40.2
21.721.5
Auto9.3
Teleop11.6
End4.5
Third
2107
#31
18.20.7
15.514.8
Auto4.2
Teleop10.6
End3.4
blue by 0.2
5957
#19
18.40.2
17.317.1
Auto7.6
Teleop8.6
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed