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Red70
61712.4
446615.0
34635.9
Blue90
33931.3
370916.9
602117.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions615302040801001207090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#10
35.90.8
33.734.5
Auto9.0
Teleop17.8
End9.1
red by 4.5
339
#4
31.32.5
27.429.9
Auto8.8
Teleop19.7
End2.9
Second
4466
#32
15.01.1
11.913.0
Auto1.9
Teleop10.4
End2.8
blue by 2.0
6021
#33
17.12.5
13.716.2
Auto7.1
Teleop7.4
End2.6
Third
617
#36
12.40.8
12.813.6
Auto4.3
Teleop7.0
End1.1
blue by 4.5
3709
#38
16.93.6
11.415.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed