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Red82
53925.4
61928.0
316816.4
Blue99
299817.8
159933.0
34635.9
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62882040801001201408299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
619
#16
28.01.2
26.327.5
Auto10.3
Teleop14.4
End3.3
blue by 7.9
346
#10
35.91.1
35.036.1
Auto9.0
Teleop17.8
End9.1
Second
539
#20
25.41.2
22.723.9
Auto9.3
Teleop11.6
End4.5
blue by 7.6
1599
#15
33.01.1
30.531.7
Auto9.1
Teleop18.6
End5.4
Third
3168
#37
16.41.2
15.016.2
Auto1.6
Teleop12.7
End2.1
blue by 1.4
2998
#28
17.81.4
16.517.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
44%Breach oddsEarned91%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed