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Red80
580428.2
159827.9
393925.0
Blue76
97726.1
291424.2
299817.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84662040601001201408076

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#21
28.20.1
26.326.4
Auto10.4
Teleop13.6
End4.2
red by 2.1
977
#14
26.10.1
26.026.0
Auto9.4
Teleop12.8
End3.9
Second
27.90.1
27.427.5
Auto9.4
Teleop13.1
End5.4
red by 3.7
2914
#30
24.20.1
23.023.0
Auto7.6
Teleop13.3
End3.3
Third
3939
#13
25.00.1
24.925.0
Auto6.2
Teleop13.3
End5.5
red by 7.3
2998
#28DQ
17.80.1
17.817.8
Auto3.3
Teleop11.3
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
79%Breach oddsEarned67%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed