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Red156
108639.1
527937.8
335921.9
Blue117
580428.2
554636.5
313623.2
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12210350150200156117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.10.2
38.138.4
Auto10.7
Teleop22.4
End6.0
red by 2.6
36.50.2
36.336.5
Auto10.7
Teleop13.5
End12.3
Second
37.80.2
36.837.0
Auto8.6
Teleop22.7
End6.5
red by 9.6
5804
#21
28.20.2
28.028.2
Auto10.4
Teleop13.6
End4.2
Third
3359
#29
21.90.2
20.921.1
Auto7.8
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 1.3
3136
#22
23.20.2
23.023.2
Auto7.0
Teleop13.1
End3.2